Ukrainian Security Diplomacy in the New Geopolitical Reality: Security Guarantees for Ukraine, Risks and Challenges

Keywords: Ukraine, security diplomacy, geopolitics, post-war reconstruction, hybrid threats, Three Seas Initiative, 2025 negotiations, energy security

Abstract

Purpose. To examine key trends in Ukraine’s security diplomacy in the post-war world, including multilateral guarantees, economic reconstruction, countering hybrid threats, defense cooperation, and scientific diplomacy, providing recommendations to strengthen Ukraine’s role in the new geopolitical reality.

Method. A historical-comparative method.

Findings. Five trends identified: Ukraine’s geopolitical role, countering hybrid threats, security guarantees, economic reconstruction, and scientific diplomacy.

Theoretical implications. Development of Ukraine’s resilience diplomacy concept, integrating historical lessons (Congress of Vienna) with modern challenges (2025 negotiations, hybrid threats), enriching theories of international relations and security strategies.

Paper type. Theoretical.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Clausewitz, C. von. (2018). On war (Ukrainian transl.). Kyiv: KM-Books.

Brzezinski, Z. (1997). The grand chessboard: American primacy and its geostrategic imperatives. New York: Basic Books.

Horbulin, V. (2022). Hybrid war as a challenge to Ukraine’s national security. National Security and Defense, 1–2, 10–20.

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. (2025). Global security analysis. Available from : https://carnegieendowment.org

Council on Foreign Relations. (2024). Ukraine and the future of European security. Available from : https://www.cfr.org

Center for Strategic and International Studies. (2022). Cyber threats and Ukraine: Lessons for NATO. Available from : https://www.csis.org

Brookings Institution. (2023). Ukraine’s public diplomacy in wartime. Available from : https://www.brookings.edu

RAND Corporation. (2024). Post-war scenarios for Ukraine. Available from : https://www.rand.org

Reuters. (2025, August). Trump wants deal to end Russia’s war in Ukraine by Aug. 8, US tells UN. Available from : https://www.reuters.com

Wikipedia. (2025). Peace negotiations in the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Available from : https://en.wikipedia.org

BBC News. (2025, August). Putin not swayed by Trump’s Ukraine war ultimatum. Available from : https://www.bbc.com

NATO. (2023). Defence planning process. Available from : https://www.nato.int

European Commission. (2023). Horizon Europe: Ukraine’s participation. Available from : https://ec.europa.eu

Transparency International. (2024). Corruption perceptions index. Available from : https://www.transparency.org

National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine. (2021). Center for countering disinformation. Available from : https://www.rnbo.gov.ua

Polish Ministry of Foreign Affairs. (2024). Poland’s support for Ukraine’s reconstruction. Available from :https://www.gov.pl

Atlantic Council. (2025). A plan for peace through strength in Ukraine. Available from : https://www.atlanticcouncil.org

The New York Times. (2025, August). Trump’s envoy is expected to visit Russia as U.S. pushes for peace deal in Ukraine. Available from : https://www.nytimes.com

NPR. (2025, August). Trump slams Zelenskyy over Russia-Ukraine peace terms. Available from : https://www.npr.org

Reuters. (2025, August). Trump officials eye a longer road to Ukraine peace as frustration mounts. Available from : https://www.reuters.com

Voennaya Khronika. (2025). Russian military analysts examine missile strike options against Japan. Available from : https://voenkhronika.ru

The Washington Post. (2025, August). Trump’s admiration for authoritarian leaders and its impact on U.S. diplomacy. Available from : https://www.washingtonpost.com

Foreign Policy. (2025, August). Putin’s strategy to rebuild the Russian empire through alliances with China and North Korea. Available from : https://foreignpolicy.com

Politico. (2025, August). Europe’s nervousness over potential U.S. compromises in Ukraine talks. Available from : https://www.politico.com

Al Jazeera. (2025, August 8). Russian drone attacks on Azerbaijan’s SOCAR facilities in Odesa. Available from : https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/8/8/russia-drone-attacks-azerbaijan-socar-facilities-odesa-ukraine

Greenberg, A. (2019). Sandworm: A new era of cyberwar and the hunt for the Kremlin’s most dangerous hackers. New York: Knopf Doubleday Publishing Group. ISBN 978-0-385-54440-5.

McMaster, H. R. (2023). Battlegrounds: The fight to defend the free world (N. Koval, Trans.). Kyiv: Nash Format. ISBN 978-617-8120-15-3.

The New York Times. (2025, August 18). Trump returns to Washington after Putin talks yield no Ukraine deal. Available from : https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/18/trump-putin-ukraine-talks-alaska.html

Reuters. (2025, August). Trump officials eye a longer road to Ukraine peace as frustration mounts. Available from : https://www.reuters.com


Abstract views: 22
PDF Downloads: 12
Published
2025-08-31
How to Cite
Gurkovskyi, V., Havryliuk, I., Kliat, Y., Dobrovolskyi, Y., Romanenko, E., & Ilnitskyi, S. (2025). Ukrainian Security Diplomacy in the New Geopolitical Reality: Security Guarantees for Ukraine, Risks and Challenges. Social Development and Security, 15(4), 50-61. https://doi.org/10.33445/sds.2025.15.4.5
Section
National Security

Most read articles by the same author(s)

1 2 > >>